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AJS

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Taxation with representation ain't so hot either
Articles Posted: 6  Links Seeded: 1454
Member Since: 1/2006  Last Seen: 2/20/2010

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An inconvenient bet? Professor Bets Al Gore $10,000 He's Wrong About Global Warming

Seeded on Fri Jun 22, 2007 11:48 AM EDT
Read ArticleArticle Source: dailypennsylvanian.com
us-news, climate-change, global-warming, al-gore, inconvenient-truth, scott-armstrong
Seeded by ajs
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Armstrong has challenged the former vice president to a 10-year bet, in which $10,000 from the two would be set aside in escrow as Gore pits his forecast of how much global temperature will increase during that time against a so-called "naive model," in which temperature would be expected to stay the same.

The winner would get to donate the $20,000 and accumulated interest to the charity of his choice.

Armstrong explained that the idea of a bet arose out of research a colleague and he - both specialists in forecasting - had done on global-warming forecasts put out by Gore and organizations like the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, a United Nations-sponsored entity formed to help achieve scientific consensus on climate change.

Armstrong said that he discovered that most climate-change forecasts use bad methodology.

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  • Groups: Climate Change, Global Warming Heretics, rightwingers
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  • Public Discussion (12)
ajs

More here on the Global Warming Challenge.

  • 4 votes
Reply#1 - Fri Jun 22, 2007 11:50 AM EDT
npat

I think Armstrong meant to say that most meteorologists who've said climate-change isn't a problem use no methodology, research or common sense at all, just seat of the pants arrogance and not wanting to eat crow.

  • 3 votes
Reply#2 - Fri Jun 22, 2007 11:59 AM EDT
Brenda Mayer

Nope. This is what he said:

"We've been unable to find any scientific forecast, and what we have are forecasts by scientists," he said.

Swarthmore's not too shabby, either.

  • 6 votes
#2.1 - Fri Jun 22, 2007 5:02 PM EDT
Brenda Mayer

Oops. Meant Wharton.

  • 6 votes
#2.2 - Fri Jun 22, 2007 5:03 PM EDT
Reply
Tim Boothby

Wonder if he'll take the bet?

  • 3 votes
Reply#3 - Fri Jun 22, 2007 5:05 PM EDT
Brenda Mayer

I doubt it.

  • 4 votes
#3.1 - Fri Jun 22, 2007 5:06 PM EDT
The OttO Show

Do you really wonder? I'll bet you $10,000 he doesn't.

  • 4 votes
#3.2 - Fri Jun 22, 2007 8:10 PM EDT
Reply
mrcmatt

How can he not take the bet?

  • 1 vote
Reply#4 - Sat Jun 23, 2007 9:04 AM EDT
Juno Hera

Now, if Gore did take the bet, would that mean that we have to suffer more for the next ten years. Seems like him taking it, would convince people further . . .

  • 2 votes
Reply#5 - Mon Jun 25, 2007 3:23 PM EDT
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