
Voters rejected the contentious amendments, proposed to greatly expand his powers and turn the oil-rich country into a socialist state, by a narrow margin of 51 to 49 per cent.
But in typical fashion the president sought to turn defeat into his advantage by claiming it demonstrated the democratic nature of his rule.
The Election Commission announced the results at 1.20am on Monday morning, sending the jubilant political opposition onto the streets of Caracas in celebration, singing, letting fireworks into the air and honking car horns.
Those who vote NO are doing a favor to George W. Bush. Our real opponent, our real enemy is the US Empire. On Sunday we are going to deal another knockout blow to the American imperialism. Nobody should forget that it is the backdrop of the battle.
Hugo Chavez
So what percentage of the Venezuelan population does that make traitors? Bolivar is laughing from the grave.
About 51%, so the traitors are the majority, pretty common trait of socialism.
Especially national socialism. ;)
Hard to say actually. Turnout was very low, for Venezuela, although we haven't seen 56% come out to vote in this country in decades here in the US. On the other hand, it appears that a substantial number of the non-voters were people who opposed Chavez's "reforms" but were afraid to vote against him. The number opposed could be a lot higher than 51% or a bit lower. I think the fear of the former is why he has gone ahead and conceded.
He followed Putin's model too fast: he needed another couple of years of crushing his opponents before staging a coronation referendum. Looks like Putin won this weekend, incidentally. I'd be far more concerned over that than over Smilin' Hugo's loss.
@ AdipicAcid
With the margin so close I was surprised that Chavez conceded so quickly, I agree with your conclusion. I reached a similar conclusion.
On the question of Putin v. Chavez. Why are you more apprehensive about the consolidation of Putin's power, more so than that of Chavez's. I am curious. Please add some commentary on this question.
Looking forward to it.
Vince
Chavez, for all his blustering rhetoric, is nothing more than a leftwing version of the traditional Latin American strongman. Putin, otoh, leads a country whose natural resources wealth is staggering and is a man who wrote his heavily plagiarized dissertation on using Russia's natural wealth as a weapon. He's already tried this once by cutting off natural gas supplies to Ukraine. His goal is to remake Russia into a great power by coopting or placing client regimes in Russia's near abroad. He's also determined to make mischief for the US in particular, and much of the West in general, by cozying up to fellow thugs from Caracas to Tehran.
And to continue: Think about the geography that Putin controls versus that of Chavez. He sits amidst some very significant strategic theaters, East and West.
Bill has more than adequately addressed my concerns, but I will add to it this: how many ICBMs does Chavez control?
Thank you all for the replies. I am a little detached from, what was once called, Near Eastern Studies. I have no doubt that if we entered into conflict (ideological or otherwise) Russia would be a far worse adversary. But I still want to add some food for thought
According to the DOE, the United States imported 517,947,000 barrels of crude from Chavez in 2006; compared to only 134,646,000 from Russia. Just yesterday (maybe the day before that) Chavez threatened to stop Oil imports to the US if it interfered with the referendum that was up for vote. If resources are a weapon then Chavez has a bigger gun than Putin and has already threatened to use it.
NATO was created with the goal of containing Russia, there is no counterpart in the Americas. Technically the Monroe Doctrine aligns us with Venezuela (and our energy interests do the same).
The difference is than a large nuclear stockpile and a struggling economy. This is what I think makes Putin worth watching. And this next point is something that I would love feedback on: I think that Russia's geography is as much a liability as an asset.
-Vince
Vince, the reason Venezuela is such a large supplier to the States is simple. Shipping costs due to proximity. Same reason Canada and Mexico are. Since crude is a fungible product the market is global in nature with any number of resellers. Thus, there's no way Chavez could control who the end user of Venezuelan crude it unless he tries to halt shipments to all of the resellers. Further, Venezuelan crude tends to be of the "sour, heavy" variety and most of the refineries for this product are in the Western hemisphere. Chavez would be cutting his nose off to spite his face which, of course, wouldn't be any guarantee that he would but since his power largely flows from Venezuela's oil wealth it's highly unlikely he'd do so.
So much for the theory that he controls all the voting in his country.
I bet he's just as surprised.
yeah i thought that he was threatening everyone who voted no..
you'd think he was driving arround with machine guns making people vote yes according to the furver hear on the vine.
I reacll how it was the pro chavez malitia patrolling the voting booths.
SO what happens ajs??? where yall makign a bunch of hot air over a true democracy..
funny i dont hear from you any story about how putins party just won an overwhelming victory in an old school saddam style democracy
I'm only upset he didnt win.. now this means ajs and others will continue to fill the vine with this trash.
Shoot I'm almost ready for him to give the oil back to the oil companies so they can quit on ven.
now this means ajs and others will continue to fill the vine with this trash.
Sorry for that Joules, but I would be seeding more Chavez/Venezuela articles no matter how the vote ended.
funny i dont hear from you any story about how putins party just won an overwhelming victory in an old school saddam style democracy
Funny I didn't here from you any story about that either, I thought we had agreed that I would cover Venezuela and you would cover Russia.
Have the results and Chavez's graceful concession cured the right-wingers xenophobia? Retractions anyone?
"In the past we have turned alleged defeats into moral victories that then became political victories. Do not be sad. Do not feel sorry, please! For now, we could not make it. (But) I am not taking one single colon out of this proposal. This proposal is alive!"
-- Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez
It will pass next time.
Feel free to give links to outside articles Rebecca but linking to others seeds will not be accepted.
Here is the link to the outside story that was deleted with the previous message, some here at newsvine consider this type of propaganda to be fair and balanced, judge for your self.
Thanks, ajs.
I don't feel crabby anymore.
:-D
Jdoyle:
Ajs, has a hollow victory. The vote was close, the corporate media like Ajs, carried on the proud tradition of servility, ideological distortion, as the deformed middle classes, shock troops for fascism. Read Djd article by Greg Palast. The claims of dictatorship comes up against the fact they Ajs has to put away his shirt of Fraud, as most of the yahoo middle classes. In fact his gracious acknowledgement that he did not have the votes, will allow a more considered strategy to move the social movement forward. The corporate media, even the New York times, pretended that Chavez had made himself dictators, but even multiple terms in office require majority votes, and like this election is proof that AJS is distorting the facts.
Next time he needs to remove the issue of his own candidacy and multiple terms to a social movement, so that the corporate media, like the New York Times cannot lie. This crucial ommission, lying through ommission is typical of all rotten corporate media hacks, both liberal and conservative. That is why they were state propagandist for our illlegal war in Iraq and continue to lie, as the Western corporate press in Venezuela.
By the way, the corporate media, New York Times, all got another black eye for their warmongering, cheerleading ideological rot, and lies on Iran. US spy agencies all contradicted the warmongering flottilla of ships off the coast of Iran, threatening it for having nuclear weapons, and contradicted the New York Times zionist Judith Miller liar, and lying partner, Michael Gordon who cheered us into the illegal Iraq war, while Gordon continues to do the dirty ideological propaganda that Iran is a threate and has nuclear wepaons. NOT!!!!! This is the corporate rot that AJS binds himself to, full of lies, and lies of ommissiion. Go ahead and put your shirt on, that says, FRAUD, OR DICTATOR. Chavez is certainly not the Bush corporate dictator, class dictator, that AJS loves.
Eric, I am a construction worker from Michigan, only in your fantasy world could you pin me down as "corporate media", and it proves to me that you are in fact delusional.
You still have not answered my question from a few days ago, what do you do for a living?
Around nine million of Venezuela's 16 million eligible voters went to the polls. Turnout in poorer neighbourhoods, where support for Mr Chavez is strong, indicated that the referendum was drawing a mixed response.
Imagine if we could get over 50% of american voters to the polls.
Make it compulsory, and get rid of term limits, That will go a long way to getting better candidates and getting voters to turn up.
Make it compulsory,
There is no room for freedom in I Spy's world.
Spy,
Make 'em do it. Freedom , you say
Just think, Bushs forever.
Actually, I'm in favor of compulsory voting, and making Election Day a national holiday so there's no excuse. It would be perfectly OK if someone were to turn in a blank ballot, however. I'd just strip the voter registration of anyone who failed to vote for an election cycle. In other words, if you don't vote in this election, you also don't vote in the next one. If all you have to do is mail in a blank absentee ballot to maintain your registration, that seems like a small burden, particularly if you also get the election day off.
Make it compulsory
I agree; freedom isn't free!
many democracies have a requirement of participation.
AJs remark is cause if you forced everyone to vote, dems would win more often.
SO he uses a cute little bummper sticker remark in attacking you.. some BS about freedom.
See you are against freeedom for bringing that up.
BUT WTH does that mean
I HAVE TO PAY TAXES.. well what happened to freedom??
I cant kill my nieghbour for the late night loud music.... well what about my freaken freedom??
And you mean I actually have to show up for jury duty..... I thought we lived in a mo fo free country.
Freedom doesnt mean the lack of participation or that forcing you to vote means you arent free.
SHoot I HAVE TO SEND MY KIDS TO SCHOOOL.
DAMN FREEDOM HATING AMERICANS.
dont let ajs bumper sticker you.
If he wants to truely argue the merits of forced voting fine.. but it's not like we have an anarchy or 100% pure free society, we have a particitory democracy. I have to do jury duty, i have to sign up with selective service, I have to go to school, i have to follow the law.
The old Soviet Union used to have nearly 100% turnout as did Saddam's Iraq if I'm not mistaken.
Actually, I'm in favor of compulsory voting, and making Election Day a national holiday so there's no excuse.
I'm in favor of repealing the 19th amendment and literacy tests for voters. Enough morons vote as it is. Certainly, the process shouldn't be made any easier.
All that talk about Freedom and how great America is because of its participatory government is just so much hot air then?
You just don't get it when I go tongue-in-cheek, do you? Actually though I do favor reasonable restrictions that would make voter fraud harder to commit and ballots should be printed in no languages other than English. No one in this country can reasonably claim that voting is an onerous procedure.
I'm in favor of repealing the 19th amendment and literacy tests for voters. Enough morons vote as it is. Certainly, the process shouldn't be made any easier.
Hell, you should go even further, Bill. Let's have literacy tests for candidates. As well as geography and spelling quizzes.
We might not be in the mess we're in had we instituted the practice . . . um . . . 6 or 7 years ago.
I'm with you on English only ballots, actually. I think the citizenship test should only be in English as well, which last I heard was the case. If you can pass the test, then you should be able to read a ballot as well.
How about only allowing property owners to vote, I've always been a fan of that one.
How about only allowing property owners to vote, I've always been a fan of that one.
That would kind of suck for those who rent.
It would. It's the exact sort of thing I would expect from a Tory. Our Founders were a motley assortment of leftist radicals (Sam Adams), pointy headed intellectuals (Franklin), slavers (most of the Southern delegates), and drug smugglers (Hancock). Not exactly the law and order crowd.
Ajs,
Has no perspective, history, or connection to ideology. It is all about ideological distortion, lies, and warmongering. I wonder what he will say when the flotilla of war ships off of Iran have to be removed based on the lies that he supports by both class parties, and their imperial agenda, that now have been disproven, including the distorted claim that Chavez will be a dictator. AJS has nothing to say about American corporate class dictatorship, but is free to call him a dictator, being the good middle class distorter of ideology, that routinely is servile to the oligarchy, class dictatorship. Only silence here. Chavez is not a very good dictator, if he acknowledges he lost the vote. But then Ajs is not a very good ideological agent of history, ideology, and morality.
Gees Eric tell us what you really think;)
Why all the attacks Eric?
How is my seeding relevant stories on Chavez such a terrible thing?
And you still have not answered my question from a few days ago, what do you do for a living, I'm just curious, if you don't want to say in the forum then drop me a line.
Have a splendid day living under capitalism.
Hey AJS, sounds like he's guilt-ridden for being in bed with the corporate whore. Wannabe revolutionaries have to eat you know ;)
@ AdipicAcid
Actually, I'm in favor of compulsory voting, and making Election Day a national holiday so there's no excuse. It would be perfectly OK if someone were to turn in a blank ballot,
Even with compulsory voting, if you dont want to vote just write Mickey mouse or something worse on your ballot, they are still secret ballots. :)
i guess ajs missed the debate on that
you know when we were discussing the merits of property owners voting.. which is worse than what is going on in ven as the top 10% own all the property
But anyways the arguement went like this
if a man can vote this year because he owns a mule and the mule dies..has that much changed in the man to prevent him from voting. He is still just as intelligent, etc/. He is just mule-lesss.
and thomas paine called these rules, you talk about as slavery.. to prevetn anyman from voting it is enslave that man. to subject him to the will of others, even morons. And heck if morons couldnt vote, they shouldnt be allowed to run for president either
Nice that yall so misunderstand democracy and support slavery..
Isn't this what Hamilton et al had in mind in the beginning...only property owners voting...white male property owners. This is progress???
Losing this referendum is still a win for Chavez, He has proven the His revolution is a true participary Democracy run for the people by the people, I am a little disappointed that he will still have term limits in his country.
Well although I am against the hurricanne of anti chavez news, and can see right though it all..
term limits are important in any democracy and franlky.. we need some here in the us.
senators and such tend to serve nearly for life.. and their constituants would be insane to vote them out, no matter how scummy or corrupt they are, as senority brings home the largest portion of bacon.
we need some here in the us.
senators and such tend to serve nearly for life.. and their constituants would be insane to vote them out, no matter how scummy or corrupt they are, as senority brings home the largest portion of bacon.
Thanks for that comment, That is a shame that senators incumbent have that kind of leverage. In that case I agree term limits are appropriate. I too would want such a leveling in that system.
In a Parliamentary Democracy Term limits are not a good thing and unnecessary, There is no Executive appointments all are elected, so you need to be a lot better than the sitting member to vote him out. The phrase "Vote Him Out" shows you have a good understanding of political process.
In the case of Chavez, Getting rid of term limits will be inevitable unless he makes a serious error, Like with Putin in the Duma, he has retained power amnd will now likely become Prime Minister, From this postition he could abolish limits and seek re-election.
It sounds like good news for Venezuela. I am curious if he ever made a promise to not bring this back up next month and the next until the answer is in his favor? Or can he only ask once per some period under their law?
I will withhold my celebration for their participatory Democracy when Chavez peacefully hands over power in 2012.
I'm with Kyle - my bet is on another 2-3 years of systematically stamping out opposition followed by another "democratic referendum." This one he will play to win.
LOL bush cheers egypts oviously flawed election.. due to the fact that it was aleast a small step forward.
Ven has a real ellection that disproves all the fears mongering brought up on the vine.. and chavez actually loses and rather than cheer the vens.. You decide to agree with the fear mongers...
OK i know this looked ereal but it cant be.. it is chavez... ajs must be right.,. soemthign is up..
well if over half the people are against him.. and he didnt have his roving bands of miliatary forcing people to vote... how do you think he will be able to stay in power in 2012?
and are you upset what just happened in russia?
You know one of the questions on the russia ballot was will putins party win big or real big
and yet i dont see an onsalught of posts condemning russias failed and fake democracy.
Well fortunately this is Newsvine, so you can get cracking on those Russian news posts if it really bothers you that much.
Well fortunately this is Newsvine, so you can get cracking on those Russian news posts if it really bothers you that much.
I think he just likes to complain.
This is true i like to complain
but serious ajs
you get a daily onslaught of chavez chavez chavez
when crap like russia is going on.
you claimed the other day that you are concerned with chavez as it is current events.. and yet you ignore russia
now you say that is my job.
I am saying we overthrew iran for nationalising their oil. chavez did this, it is ovious to the world why we are so upset.
If we pretended to be concerned with russia, pakistan, saudia arbaia, egypt, darfur, then the world might believe us when we act upst about ven.
You seem to think that just because we're talking about Venezuela, we're somehow completely ignoring what's going on with the rest of the world.
I'm not ignoring Russia but I've ignored old joules from day one. Anyone who cannot write a grammatically correct English sentence with proper usage doesn't merit a second look.
Pretty close 51-49...Sounds like Chavez is taking in the message. It's a hard situation.
"If the official vote was narrow, that probably means the actual margin of defeat was significant." - Glenn Reynolds
pseudo:
What the @!$%# does Glenn Reynolds know?
I'm serious. You righties are maddening in your inability to alter premises when confronted with empirical data contrary to your previous belief.
I mean, this is un-@!$%#ing-believable. Why the @!$%# would Chavez cheat to ensure a close loss?
"Oh. Maybe the Venezuelan Electoral system isn't as corrupt as I previously believed" is both a hellava lot more rational as a response and a hellava lot more likely as an explanation than "Oh, he must've cheated anyway" coming from some ignoramus lawyer in Knoxville, TN or wherever that ass is belching from.
I'm serious. You righties are maddening in your inability to alter premises when confronted with empirical data contrary to your previous belief.
I'm chuckling Gillis. As if the lefties aren't expert at moving goalposts. And what do you mean "empirical"? That the results are subject to credible peer review? I think the margin was so large that Chavez couldn't afford to report it honestly, so he reported the margin as slim to save face, and I believe that because I have looked into Chavez's "soul". The official report of a slim defeat will give Chavez cover to refloat constitutional reform in a couple years. 2012 is a long way off and the real Chavez is still with us.
pseudo:
That would've been idiotic. A supposedly corrupt nationalized electoral system utilized to save face? Do you think Tammany Hall ever stuffed ballots on elections they lost?
Moreover, if you were on the Vine yesterday and saw numerous seeds of the various early returns and exit polls, and you know that BOTH sides had numbers showing a close result, although each side had themselves winning. By far the most likely scenario, then, is that it was in fact a close election.
Even more Moreover, the opposition IN VENEZUELEA is not making the charge you and that ingnorant asswipe in Knoxville are making. So. Glenn Reynolds doesn't know @!$%#. You don't know @!$%#. Yet you spew @!$%#. Whereas the people who DO know @!$%# aren't spewing that @!$%#.
... the real Chavez is still with us
We now KNOW the "real" Chavez. He's a Democratic Socialist willing to accept the judgment of the people (at least now; won't vouch for his previous career).
Redruby:
They are still using the Russian bugagoo, what shallow thinking.
Even more Moreover, the opposition IN VENEZUELEA is not making the charge you and that ingnorant asswipe in Knoxville are making. So. Glenn Reynolds doesn't know @!$%#. You don't know @!$%#. Yet you spew @!$%#. Whereas the people who DO know @!$%# aren't spewing that @!$%#.
The "opposition IN VENEZUELEA" is hardly at its leisure. We rarely have the luxury of making our most important determinations from a condition of "knowledge" but we plug away anyhow.
I suspect Reynolds is one of your buttons. He is an contrary voice, isn't he? And all the more irritating due to his credibility.
With Chavez, the proof is in the pudding. I expect his future to be typical of his past, and I confidently interpolate to his present.
Eric,
They are still using the Russian bugagoo, what shallow thinking.
Nice double standard from the guy continually invoking Hitler and the Nazis.
pseudo:
We rarely have the luxury of making our most important determinations from a condition of "knowledge" but we plug away anyhow.
You gotta be kidding.
If you want to claim that @!$%#wit in Knoxville has knowledge superior to those with direct experience of the situation, fine. So far, I've cited two pieces of evidence in this sub-thread, the fact that both opposition and government exit polls showed similar results and the fact that there are no claims from Venezeula of significant irregularities.
You and your idiiot compadre in Knoxville haven't cited @!$%# except yourselves repeating other people who haven't cited @!$%#.
We now KNOW the "real" Chavez. He's a Democratic Socialist willing to accept the judgment of the people (at least now; won't vouch for his previous career).
Jack - 6.4 - I gotta say it troubles me to hear you defending Chavez in this manner.....just because he lost this time doesn't mean the election was fair.....he overplayed his hand but not by much.
Ajs- I hope this isn't a double post - if so please delete the dupe....having comuter woes....signing off now - goodnight!
lisa:
.....just because he lost this time doesn't mean the election was fair.....
But the facts call for the opposite inference.
For God's sake, not one of you righties has even hestitantly offered the possibility that maybe Chavez wasn't as bad as you thought after all based on the fact that HE LOST AN ELECTION AND DEFERRED TO TO WILL OF THE PEOPLE. That makes him a small-d democrat regardless of what some nitwit lawyer in his pajamas in Knoxville thinks.
- I gotta say it troubles me to hear you defending Chavez in this manner
Noting for the record: ajs posted almost all his many Chavez seeds to Tin Horn for the last ten days or so and although I read them all I haven't commented because I don't know what to make of Chavez and I wanted to see the outcome of this plebecite before commenting substantively.
I suspect Reynolds is one of your buttons.
Jack has several such buttons, Bill Kristol is another one. It's kind of an involuntary spasm like Tourette's as diagnosed long ago by Dr. Krauthammer in Jack Germond whenever Bush's diddy was mentioned.
Alternatively it could be because the Ravens are about 9 minutes from making another year for Nick Buoniconti and Shula.
Bill:
That can't be it. Look at the timestamp.
Although now that you mention it, Krauthammer's another nincompoop in the same category as Reynolds and Kristol.
I was referring to the time left on the clock not the EST. Bellichick should give Billick a game ball for that bonehead timeout call.
Bill:
I'll say. Man, the coaches wanted these sideline timeouts. Between Gibbs yesterday and Billick today, think the coaches might just give that rule back?
Billick may finally be on his way out in Baltimore. Talk about overrated blowhards. Gibbs's @!$%#up is simply mystifying. I was watching the end of the Skins game at our Vikings fanclub when he did it and immediately told the assembled that would be 15 agin the Skins. I cannot believe he didn't know that rule which isn't exactly new.
You and your idiiot compadre in Knoxville haven't cited @!$%# except yourselves repeating other people who haven't cited @!$%#.
We don't have to cite "@!$%#": Chavez's documented history is our "@!$%#". The leopard doesn't change his spots, if only because he can't. The presupposition is everywhere, and every time, against the machinations of Chavez and you know it. The man could balance his reputation only by abdicating and emigrating, but, again, you already know that. I'm surprised you're expending energy over this. You might as well be defending the honor of Putin or Ahmadinejad: totally 'taint got none.
Just to be clear: I have no doubt that Chavez will do WHATEVER it takes between now and 2012 to make sure he gets a lifelong presidency. Mark it, and measure the present accordingly. The guy is who he is, he's got the bit in his teeth, and nobody needs any "empirical" study to know what that means.
If it walks like a duck, ....
If it walks like a duck, ...
Shoot it? But I like duckies
- Vince
pseudo:
No, unproven allegations and unsupported opinion is your "@!$%#."
Now let's talk about these here ducks of yours:
Just to be clear: I have no doubt that Chavez will do WHATEVER it takes between now and 2012 to make sure he gets a lifelong presidency.
You've said that or things very similar previously. There was just an election in which Chavez tried to do just that. It was REJECTED by the people and Chavez DEFERRED TO THEIR WILL. That is a FACT, some of them there empirical data I mentioned above.
I trust Chavez to be himself. That's all the empiricism I'll need, but I'll rely upon you to remember this exchange.
yeah all you guys were saying he was going to steal this
that people were being forced to vote
that peope who even suggested that they might vote no were labveled as traitors and sent to reeducation camps
and now we see he lost
and so you say..
since he was losing by so much.. he cheated just enough to not lose badly as if he cheated more it would be obvious.. man that is the most tin foil conspiracy dribble, far reaching out your butt, bs thing i have ever heard. Seriously you want us to belive that he couldnt cheat enough, as it would be obvious.. this same guy forcing people to vote via machine guns?? I think that people would notice th emachine guns no??
Se3e once again we see you are nothing but hot air
And who cares if chavez is leader for life.. maybe the ven but why do we?
we dont care about people dying in dafur cant see why we care about people being opressed in ven.
I am very very very sorry that chaevz took the oil away from exxon making their stocks go down by micro percentages. Deal with it, and let the ven people deal with their DEMOCRACY.
I don't know what to make of Chavez
Jack - chavez is a tyrant....plain and simple....please, don't let these "published" referendum results fool you. Empirical evidence when he is controlling all? No, you can't weigh this election outcome on "empirical" evidence....if you do - you are delivering to him just what he wanted.
lisa:
Tyrants don't lose elections.
Having said that, I don't deny that Chavez has shown some anti-democratic tendencies. In fact, I seeded this last June:
Big Brothers: Newspeak Translated into Spanish and Russian
which is ESPECIALLY noteworthy considering events of the last few days--in addition to beating ajs's anti-Chavez seeds by about six months.
:^{)>
However, there's simply no rational reason to continue to contend that Chavez is a "Tyrant" based on the events of this week. You want to call him a Socialist, populist or even a demagogue, that's fine. But "dictator" or "tyrant" won't do based on the facts.
Tyrants don't lose elections.
Competent tyrants don't lose elections.
Ajs - that's a pretty slim margin - I'm very happy I don't live in Venezuela....I remember when it was tres chic to vacation there - no more.
Mr. Chavez is, in my opinion, not the sharpest tool in the shed. I think he actually thought he'd win easily and underplayed his hand. He won't make the same mistake twice.
That was my point. Putin waited until he had systematically crushed his opposition before launching a referendum to allow him to retain power. Chavez got greedy and his reach exceeded his grasp: this time.
I expect he will still be in charge come 2013. He just needs to gear up the machinery to guarantee a win the next time he brings this up.
I expect he will still be in charge come 2013. He just needs to gear up the machinery to guarantee a win the next time he brings this up.
He might, but even if he can stand for re-election, and I think that part of the constitution will and needs to be changed, It is still no garuntee he will win.
Which part of "systematically crush his opposition like Putin did" escaped you?
Which part of "systematically crush his opposition like Putin did" escaped you?
Well Putin did not systematically crush the opposition, He failed to get 66% of the vote. Even if the election was held again and you were allowed to impliment what you think would be fair, Putin would still win the majority of seats. It's a mute point.
He didn't crush them? The leaders of anti-Putin parties were arrested on trumped up charges, businessmen who could contest with him were stripped of their assets, and the independent media utterly shut down. Crush is a pretty good verb for what Czar Vladimir is doing right now.
Heh. Not to mention probably targeting journalists like Anna Politkovskaya for execution or foreign critics like Litvinenko for a little "tea party". Ole Vlady's still hoping to emulate his KGB goon forebears though and have his party gain 100% of the vote.
ajs:
Hmmmm. Methinks this outcome calls for a change in premises on your part?
What kind of totalitarian communist dictator can Chavez be if he loses an election and admits having lost?
Possibly one without complete control of his military.
Multiple reliable sources are saying that having Chávez accept the results was no easy task. In fact, a good source told me that at some point the CNE President almost announced a Si victory by a slim margin, which was stopped only because General Baduel threatened to come on stage and call the fraud if she did this. In the end the military and Baduel prevailed in defending institutionality. Baduel and the military reportedly played a key role in forcing Chavez to accept his defeat or otherwise the military will call it a coup.
Oh and Jack, don't go believing everything Eric, Djd and the others have to say about me, I really have said very little about Hugo Chavez, yes I have seeded lots of stories about the situation but to come to the conclusion that my underlying premise is that his is a dictator is just false, go ahead and do some searches on what I have really said.
ajs:
As I mentioned above, I haven't said much either. For the record, I think his previous elections mostly reflected the will of the people as well, although I didn't like his media clampdowns recently.
But it just seems to me that when an election goes against the government and the government accepts the results, that's a huge quantum leap in the development of democratic institutions in any country. That alone is reason to cheer this election regardless of Left/Right.
Hmmmmm...."What kind of totalitarian communist dictator can Chavez be if he loses an election and admits having lost?"
One that is not yet assured of his power base.
We now KNOW the "real" Chavez. He's a Democratic Socialist willing to accept the judgment of the people (at least now; won't vouch for his previous career).
Jack - 6.4 - I gotta say it troubles me to hear you defending Chavez in this manner.....just because he lost this time doesn't mean the election was fair.....he overplayed his hand but not by much.
just because he lost this time doesn't mean the election was fair.....he overplayed his hand but not by much.
sorry but that sounds very simular to just cause saddam says he turned over all the nukes doesnt mean he isnt hiding some.
It is very hard to disprove a negative..
like saddam said, how do i prove that i dont have the wmds i dont got.
The 2006 election was close.. i guess that meant the republicans underestimated how many dems would actually vote and didnt cheat enough.
Just saying your assumtion that he must have cheated is just as dangerous and partisan opionated as jack thinking that he didnt cheat.
DO you even have exit poll evidence? of cheating. Anything besides opinion.?
I would hope we wouldnt ATTACK anyone based on opinion.
I'm not a chavez supporter but i also know why there is a non stop onslaught on cahvez and it's not cause he is more evil that putin, kim jung il, amadinajad, castro
stay opinionated, watch chavez but understand their are interests and adgendas involved when reporting about him. Dont let the flood of news form your opinion, find out the truth. And last dont treat opinion like fact. Just cause he lost doesnt mean the election wasnt fair either.,
While no hero of mine, you have to face some facts here. The poor people of Venezuela love him. And he has won elections. The great father of Democracy, George W. Bush, approved a coup against him. His elections have been fair, according to international monitors.
The referendum was portrayed here as "a power grab." He supposedly was going for "dictator for life." Actually, he was trying to repeal the term limits, and to extend the term of a president in Venezuela to make the presidential elections happen in off-years for the parliament. De Gaulle proposed the same solution, and it led to the perpetually-collapsing French governments of the postwar period finally had some stability. Le president could hold it together, even when the parliament was collapsing. In the US, we've had enormous stability because of our constitution, and the powers of the separate branches of government. I don't know the changes he was proposing in detail, but it was far from the "Socialist coup" it was portrayed as. And you know, the people of Venezuela reacted against it, they rejected the expanded powers for the president. And he respects the results. Far better than Putin, or the charade in Baghdad, for that matter. I'm still withholding final judgment about Chavez. Anybody who can complain about the smell of sulfur that Bush leaves behind isn't all bad.
I have worked and lived in Venezuela. I still own a house there - 25 miles from Aruba.
I was not surprised by the close vote. But as the 2012 election approaches, the people will compare Chavez to a real opposition candidate. They will demand that Chavez run again.
Chavez has made Venezuela a better country. He is the first president who cared about improving the infrastructure and people of the country. The previous Venezuelan presidents cared more about the infrastructure of Miami.
If the opposition wants to win the next election, they must become less stubborn, move to the left, and become a bit Chavezistas.
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